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  DAILY FOREX ANALYSIS BY CMC MARKETS

*Last Updated September 14, 2006, 5:13 am
Daily report by CMC Markets

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 FOREX ANALYSIS


Dollar traders await key data, cable finds support

September 14th - The dollar is looking somewhat rangebound as we run towards the key numbers that many traders have been waiting for. Starting with the Retail Sales figures later today, the market is going to be looking closely for any suggestions as to where the Fed will take its monetary policy at next week’s meeting. Obviously there’s some concern that the recent labor cost figures showed a notable rise but so long as this isn’t filtering through to an increase in spending then the FOMC may well decide to sit tight for the next few weeks. Speculation is however continuing to build that that the Bank of England may need to implement another rate hike in due course and this is being reflected in cable which continues to steadily recover from recent losses and is now trading back above 1.8800. Falling unemployment combined with a modest improvement in high street spending and inflation at 2.5% present a myriad of factors which suggest that a move by the BoE to 5% would be prudent. The next meeting to reflect this isn’t until early October although with the release of the last set of meeting minutes scheduled for Wednesday, again these can expect to be closely scrutinised and any hawkish tone here will likely provide further support for Sterling.

David Hutchings



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Disclaimer: Although obtained from sources believed by us to be reliable, CMC Markets and its affiliates cannot guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information upon which this commentary is based. This commentary does not purport to disclose the risks or benefits or entering into particular transactions and should not be construed as advice in any specific instance. The views in this report constitute our judgement as of this date and are subject to change without notice.



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